imported>Ed |
|
| (9 intermediate revisions by one other user not shown) |
| Line 1: |
Line 1: |
| − | This page provides notes for the Winner's Curse Project with Jim Brander. Access is restricted to this page.
| + | #REDIRECT [[Governance Measures]] |
| − | | |
| − | See also:
| |
| − | *[[The Winner's Curse Literature Review]]
| |
| − | | |
| − | ==Data==
| |
| − | | |
| − | The two primary datasets are:
| |
| − | *The CapGeek data
| |
| − | *The NHL.com data
| |
| − | | |
| − | ===CapGeek Data===
| |
| − | | |
| − | All contract data was be taken from http://www.CapGeek.com by a custom web-crawler. This includes all '''known''' (to capgeek) buyouts: http://www.capgeek.com/buyouts.php. Data was retrieved using player ID's, which are unique, start at 11, and end at 2352 (assigned to Biggs, Taylor, who signed a new entry level contract on 8/9 at 19:46. See http://www.capgeek.com/latest_contracts.php and look for the highest entry for an new signing.) Not all ID's exist.
| |
| − | | |
| − | Data retrieved includes:
| |
| − | *The player name (in the page level 1 header)
| |
| − | *The player's position and team name (in the page level 2 header)
| |
| − | *The full contract history. Notes on contracts (i.e. known clauses) are included in the dbase but not the STATA export.
| |
| − | | |
| − | CapGeek provides contract data on 2241 players, of which 1459 appear in the NHL statistics data, who held contracts from 2001 to the present day. 194 capgeek players have teams marked as 'Inactive', and these invariably do not appear in the NHL data. The missing capgeek players presumably play in the minors.
| |
| − | | |
| − | ===NHL Data===
| |
| − | | |
| − | The NHL data was retrieved from NHL.com using a custom webcrawler. The data covers the years 1997-present, except for the 2004-2005 season (which was a lockout). Data was retrieved seperately for skaters and goalies. We have data on all 2870 NHL players that have stats recorded on NHL.com in the final dataset.
| |
| − | | |
| − | ====Joining to CapGeek====
| |
| − | | |
| − | NHL.com does not provide unique player identifiers. These were created using player names and dates of birth. Players were matched to CapGeek using their names, and when names were non-unique matches were established manually by checking birth dates, teams and positions in both sources. Birth-date - player-name dyads were found to be unique. For a small percentage of players (approximately 45/1459) their names were recorded differently in each source. Fuzzy-matching software provided potential candidate matches and all matches were checked by hand.
| |
| − | | |
| − | Of the 2870 NHL players with statistics, we have CapGeek contract records for 1459 (51%). Part of the discrepancy is due to retirement. 442 players played their last game before 2001 and do not have CapGeek records. This leaves 969 (34%) of the NHL players that do not have contracts in CapGeek for some other reason - most likely that CapGeek's coverage is incomplete.
| |
| − | | |
| − | ==Variables==
| |
| − | | |
| − | ===General===
| |
| − | | |
| − | Each record has:
| |
| − | *nhlid - a unique player index based on name and date of birth
| |
| − | *skater - 1 for skaters, 0 for goalies
| |
| − | *syear - the season starting year identifier (YYYY), for the 2000-2001 season this is 2000
| |
| − | *playerage - in years, calculated as the age as of 1st October for the syear
| |
| − | *capgeek - 1 if the player-season is in CapGeek, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | | |
| − | From the NHL data, each record has:
| |
| − | *season - the NHL season YYYYXXXX (i.e., 20002001)
| |
| − | *jerseyno
| |
| − | *player - the player name
| |
| − | *teamstring - the team(s) the NHL records the player as coming from (for the season)
| |
| − | *teamcount - the number of teams the player played for (in the season)
| |
| − | *team1 - the 1st team the NHL records the player as coming from
| |
| − | *team2 - the 2nd team if applicable
| |
| − | *team3 - the 3rd team if applicable
| |
| − | *team4 - the 4th team if applicable
| |
| − | *pos - the player's listed position (C, L, R, D, G)
| |
| − | *dob - the player's Date of Birth
| |
| − | *biobirth_city
| |
| − | *biosorp - state or province
| |
| − | *bioctry - country
| |
| − | *bioht - height in inches
| |
| − | *biowt - weight in lbs
| |
| − | *biohanded - L or R handed
| |
| − | *biorhanded - 1 if R, 0 if L
| |
| − | *biork - Rookie (1 or 0)
| |
| − | | |
| − | Common NHL variables that are repeated for the Playoffs as seperate variables:
| |
| − | *biogp - games played (int)
| |
| − | *biog - goals (int)
| |
| − | *bioa - assists (int)
| |
| − | *biopim - penalty minutes (int)
| |
| − | *biotoiperg - time on ice per game (secs), calculated for goalies
| |
| − | | |
| − | Note that Playoff data is included by repeating variables with a PO_ prefix. The unit of observation is a player-season during the regular season.
| |
| − | | |
| − | Calculated NHL and CapGeek (combined) variables:
| |
| − | *CTeam - the contract team, deduced iff a player played for only one team during the contract
| |
| − | *NoTeamsDuringContract - the number of teams a player played for during a contract
| |
| − | *CTeamCommonFirst - the contract team, deduced iff a player always played primarily for the same team every season of the contract
| |
| − | *FirstTeamServedPerContract - the team that a player primarily played for at the start of contract
| |
| − | *ChangedCTeam - 1 if a player changed CTeam from this contract to the last, 0 otherwise.
| |
| − | *ChangedCTeamCommonFirst - 1 if a player changed CTeamCommonFirst from this contract to the last, 0 otherwise.
| |
| − | *SeasonDataButNoContractData - 1 if there is season data but no contract data, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *playedfinalcteam - 1 if the player was playing for the final contract this season, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *playedfinalcteamonly - 1 if the player only ever played for the his final contract team, 0 otherwise.
| |
| − | | |
| − | ===Contract Data===
| |
| − | | |
| − | When a player has a record in capgeek, there is contract data. This is joined to the NHL data using unique player idenfiers (based on name and dob) and the season year. For these records the 'capgeek' variable is set to 1.
| |
| − | | |
| − | *id - Capgeek ID number
| |
| − | *length - contract length (years)
| |
| − | *value - contract total value
| |
| − | *type - contract type code: 1=ENTRY LEVEL, 2=STANDARD, 3=35-PLUS
| |
| − | *typetext - the contract type
| |
| − | *expstatus - The contract's expiry status code: 0=RFA, 1=UFA
| |
| − | *expstatustext - the contract's expiry status
| |
| − | *ahlsalary
| |
| − | *nhlsalary
| |
| − | *pbonuses
| |
| − | *sbonus
| |
| − | *caphit
| |
| − | *cyear - contract year signed (i.e., first contract year)
| |
| − | *cage - contract age for a given year (i.e. 1 for first year, 2 for second year, etc).
| |
| − | *cgteam - the team code of the team that holds the player's contract (according to CapGeek)
| |
| − | *playedcteam - 1 if the player played for the contract holder in the season, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *playedcteaonly - 1 if the player ONLY played for the contract holder in the season, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *buyout - 1 if the player had a buyout in that season year, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *byear - the buyout year
| |
| − | *blength - the number of contract years bought out
| |
| − | *bamount - the amount of the buyout
| |
| − | *status - the type of the contract as a code: 1=ENTry, 2=RFA, 4=UFA, 9=UNKnown, 0=NONE (Because it is the first contract and previous type can't be deduced).
| |
| − | *statustext - the text version of the above: ENT, RFA, UFA, UNK, NONE
| |
| − | *prevstatus - the type of the previous contract as a code
| |
| − | *contractid - unique contract ids
| |
| − | *relcontractid - unique relative contract ids (i.e., within player sequential ids).
| |
| − | *firstcontract - 1 if this is the first contract listed, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *typechanged - 1 if the type of this contract is different from the type of the previous contract
| |
| − | *rfa2ufa - 1 if the transistion was from RFA last contract to UFA this period, 0 otherwise
| |
| − | *ent2rfa
| |
| − | *ent2ufa
| |
| − | *unk2rfa
| |
| − | *unk2ufa
| |
| − | *transitioncode - 0=No Transition, 1=ENT->RFA, 2=ENT->UFA, 3=RFA->UFA, 4=UNK->RFA, 5=UNK->UFA, 9=UFA->RFA
| |
| − | | |
| − | | |
| − | Note that if a player played for the Atlanta Thrashers and the Winnipeg Jets, this counts as the same team.
| |
| − | | |
| − | ===Player's Data===
| |
| − | | |
| − | Variables are named 'view-name-prefix' followed by 'transformed NHL.com code'. The view name prefixes are three letter codes, listed in brackets next to the view names themselves. The untransformed NHL.com codes used are provided for each view name in the display box. The transformation rules are replacements as follows: % -> pc, / -> or OR / -> per (depending on context), + -> plus, - -> minus, " " -> "", 1 -> one, and so forth.
| |
| − | | |
| − | ====Skaters====
| |
| − | | |
| − | Bios (bio)
| |
| − | # - Sweater Number
| |
| − | Player - Player Name
| |
| − | Team - Team
| |
| − | Pos - Position
| |
| − | DOB - Date of Birth
| |
| − | Birth City - Birth City
| |
| − | S/P - State/Province
| |
| − | Ctry - Country
| |
| − | Ht - Height in Inches
| |
| − | Wt - Weight in Pounds
| |
| − | S - Shoots
| |
| − | Rk - Rookie
| |
| − | GP - Games Played
| |
| − | G - Goals
| |
| − | A - Assists
| |
| − | Pts - Points
| |
| − | +/- - Plus/Minus
| |
| − | PIM - Penalty Minutes
| |
| − | TOI/G - Time On Ice Per Game
| |
| − | | |
| − | Summary (sum)
| |
| − | PP - Power Play Goals
| |
| − | SH - Short Handed Goals
| |
| − | GW - Game Winning Goals
| |
| − | GT - Game Tying Goals
| |
| − | OT - Overtime Goals
| |
| − | S - Shots
| |
| − | S% - Shooting Percentage
| |
| − | Sft/G - Average Shifts Per Game
| |
| − | FO% - Faceoff Win Percentage
| |
| − | | |
| − | Assists (ast)
| |
| − | ESA - Even Strength Assists
| |
| − | SHA - Short Handed Assists
| |
| − | PPA - Power Play Assists
| |
| − | HmA - Home Assists
| |
| − | RdA - Road Assists
| |
| − | DvA - Own Division Assists
| |
| − | ODvA - Other Division Assists
| |
| − | A/G - Average Assists Per Game
| |
| − | | |
| − | Division Scoring (dsc)
| |
| − | Dv GP - Division Games Played
| |
| − | Dv G - Division Goals
| |
| − | Dv A - Division Assists
| |
| − | Dv P - Division Points
| |
| − | Dv +/- - Division Plus/Minus
| |
| − | ODGP - Other Division Games Played
| |
| − | OD G - Other Division Goals
| |
| − | OD A - Other Division Assists
| |
| − | OD P - Other Division Points
| |
| − | OD+/- - Other Division Plus/Minus
| |
| − | | |
| − | Faceoff Percentages (fpc)
| |
| − | ESFOW - Even Strength Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | ESFOL - Even Strength Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | PPFOW - Power Play Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | PPFOL - Power Play Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | SHFOW - Shorthanded Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | SHFOL - Shorthanded Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | HFOW - Home Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | HFOL - Home Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | HFO% - Home Faceoff Win Percentage
| |
| − | RFOW - Road Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | RFOL - Road Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | RFO% - Road Faceoff Win Percentage
| |
| − | FOW - Total Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | FOL - Total Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | Tot - Total Faceoffs Taken
| |
| − | FO% - Faceoff Win Percentage
| |
| − | | |
| − | Goals (gls)
| |
| − | ESG - Even Strength Goals
| |
| − | PPG - Power Play Goals
| |
| − | SHG - Short Handed Goals
| |
| − | 1G - First Goals
| |
| − | OTG - Overtime Goals
| |
| − | GWG - Game Winning Goals
| |
| − | GTG - Game Tying Goals
| |
| − | HmG - Home Goals
| |
| − | RdG - Road Goals
| |
| − | DvG - Own Division Goals
| |
| − | ODvG - Other Division Goals
| |
| − | ENG - Empty Net Goals
| |
| − | PSG - Penalty Shot Goals
| |
| − | PST - Penalty Shots Taken
| |
| − | G/G - Average Goals Per Game
| |
| − | | |
| − | Home Scoring (hsc)
| |
| − | GP - Home Games Played
| |
| − | G - Home Goals
| |
| − | A - Home Assists
| |
| − | P - Home Points
| |
| − | +/- - Home Plus/Minus
| |
| − | PIM - Home Penalty Minutes
| |
| − | Pen - Home Penalties
| |
| − | EV TOI/g - Home Avg Even TOI/game
| |
| − | PP TOI/g - Home Avg PP TOI/game
| |
| − | SH TOI/g - Home Avg SH TOI/game
| |
| − | TOI/g - Home Avg TOI/game
| |
| − | FO - Home Faceoffs Taken
| |
| − | FOW - Home Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | FOL - Home Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | FO% - Home Faceoff Win %
| |
| − | | |
| − | Penalties (pen)
| |
| − | Player - Player Name
| |
| − | Team - Team
| |
| − | Pos - Position
| |
| − | GP - Games Played
| |
| − | PIM - Penalty Minutes
| |
| − | Minor - Minor Penalties
| |
| − | Major - Major Penalties
| |
| − | Misc - Misconduct Penalties
| |
| − | G Misc - Game Misconduct Penalties
| |
| − | Match - Match Penalties
| |
| − | | |
| − | Plus Or Minus (pom)
| |
| − | Other Div +/- - Other Division Plus/Minus
| |
| − | Team GF - Team Goals For
| |
| − | Team PPGF - Team Powerplay Goals For
| |
| − | Team GA - Team Goals Against
| |
| − | Team PPGA - Team Powerplay Goals Against
| |
| − | | |
| − | Points (pnt)
| |
| − | ESP - Even Strength Points
| |
| − | SHP - Short Handed Points
| |
| − | ODvP - Other Division Points
| |
| − | P/G - Average Points Per Game
| |
| − | | |
| − | Road Scoring (rsc)
| |
| − | GP - Road Games Played
| |
| − | G - Road Goals
| |
| − | A - Road Assists
| |
| − | P - Road Points
| |
| − | +/- - Road Plus/Minus
| |
| − | PIM - Road Penalty Minutes
| |
| − | Pen - Road Penalties
| |
| − | EV TOI/g - Road Avg Even TOI/game
| |
| − | PP TOI/g - Road Avg PP TOI/game
| |
| − | SH TOI/g - Road Avg SH TOI/game
| |
| − | TOI/g - Road Avg TOI/game
| |
| − | FO - Road Faceoffs Taken
| |
| − | FOW - Road Faceoffs Won
| |
| − | FOL - Road Faceoffs Lost
| |
| − | FO% - Road Faceoff Win %
| |
| − | | |
| − | Real Time Stats (rts)
| |
| − | Hits - Hits
| |
| − | BkS - Blocked Shots
| |
| − | MsS - Missed Shots
| |
| − | GvA - Giveaways
| |
| − | TkA - Takeaways
| |
| − | %Tm - % of Team Faceoffs Taken
| |
| − | Shots - Shots
| |
| − | % - Shooting Percentage
| |
| − | | |
| − | Special Teams (spc)
| |
| − | G - Power Play Goals
| |
| − | A - Power Play Assists
| |
| − | P - Power Play Points
| |
| − | | |
| − | Shooting (sho)
| |
| − | S/G - Average Shots Per Game
| |
| − | PS Goals - Penalty Shot Goals
| |
| − | PS Taken - Penalty Shots Taken
| |
| − | | |
| − | Shootouts (sou)
| |
| − | Player - Player Name
| |
| − | Team - Team
| |
| − | Pos - Position
| |
| − | Home: S - Home Shots
| |
| − | G - Home Goals
| |
| − | S% - Home Shooting Percentage
| |
| − | GDG - Home Game-Deciding Goals
| |
| − | Road: S - Road Shots
| |
| − | G - Road Goals
| |
| − | S% - Road Shooting Percentage
| |
| − | GDG - Road Game-Deciding Goals
| |
| − | GDG - Total Game-Deciding Goals
| |
| − | | |
| − | ====Goalies====
| |
| − | | |
| − | Bios (gbio or bio, when common)
| |
| − | # - Sweater Number
| |
| − | Player - Player Name
| |
| − | Team - Team
| |
| − | DOB - Date of Birth
| |
| − | Birth City - Birth City
| |
| − | S/P - State/Province
| |
| − | Ctry - Country
| |
| − | Ht - Height in Inches
| |
| − | Wt - Weight in Pounds
| |
| − | C - Catches
| |
| − | Rk - Rookie
| |
| − | GP - Games Played
| |
| − | W - Wins
| |
| − | L - Losses
| |
| − | T - Ties
| |
| − | OT - OT and/or S/O Losses
| |
| − | GAA - Goals Against Average
| |
| − | Sv% - Save Percentage
| |
| − | SO - Shutouts
| |
| − |
| |
| − | Summary (gsum or bio/sum, when common)
| |
| − | GS - Games Started
| |
| − | SA - Shots Against
| |
| − | GA - Goals Against
| |
| − | GAA - Goals Against Average
| |
| − | Sv - Saves
| |
| − | G - Goals
| |
| − | A - Assists
| |
| − | PIM - Penalty Minutes
| |
| − | TOI - Time On Ice
| |
| − | | |
| − | Special Teams (sav)
| |
| − | Even: SA - Even Strength Shots Against
| |
| − | GA - Even Strength Goals Against
| |
| − | Sv - Even Strength Saves
| |
| − | Sv% - Even Strength Save Percentage
| |
| − | Power Play: SA - Power Play Shots Against
| |
| − | GA - Power Play Goals Against
| |
| − | Sv - Power Play Saves
| |
| − | Sv% - Power Play Save Percentage
| |
| − | Shorthanded: SA - Short Handed Shots Against
| |
| − | GA - Short Handed Goals Against
| |
| − | Sv - Short Handed Saves
| |
| − | Sv% - Short Handed Save Percentage
| |
| − | | |
| − | Shootouts (gsou)
| |
| − | Home: W - Home Wins
| |
| − | L - Losses
| |
| − | SA - Shots Against
| |
| − | GA - Goals Against
| |
| − | Sv % - Save Percentage
| |
| − | Road: W - Wins
| |
| − | L - Losses
| |
| − | SA - Shots Against
| |
| − | GA - Goals Allowed
| |
| − | Sv % - Save Percentage
| |
| − | | |
| − | ==Other Data==
| |
| − | | |
| − | ===Arbitration data===
| |
| − | | |
| − | All I have so far is:
| |
| − | *http://www.cbssports.com/nhl/story/10879613 which covers 2008
| |
| − | *http://www.nhlpa.com/news/salary-arbitration which doesn't give details, but appears the official source.
| |
| − | *http://www.mynhltraderumors.com/2011/07/06/2011-nhl-salary-arbitration-list/
| |
| − | *http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/feature/?id=46931
| |
| − | *http://www.mynhltraderumors.com/2010/07/06/31-players-file-for-nhlsalary-arbitration/
| |
| − | *http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/feature/?id=11919
| |
| − | | |
| − | And some articles/blog posts:
| |
| − | *http://www.cbc.ca/sports/hockey/nhl/story/2012/07/06/sp-nhl-hockey-salary-arbitration.html
| |
| − | *http://bleacherreport.com/articles/416350-hes-filing-for-arbitration-right
| |
| − | *http://espn.go.com/blog/nhl/post/_/id/18227/16-players-file-for-salary-arbitration
| |
| − | *http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=web&cd=4&ved=0CEsQFjAD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fscholarship.law.marquette.edu%2Fcgi%2Fviewcontent.cgi%3Farticle%3D1090%26context%3Dsportslaw&ei=oF0kUOjnDaStygGdloGICQ&usg=AFQjCNFVdbuIrKocqXl3w5Gm7gT32r5LcA
| |
