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**'''Issue: Sales remain the same each year from 2025 to 2030, but patients increase by more than 50% from 12k to 19k.**'''
**'''Issue: Discount rate is negative(!), not taken from the stated source, and entirely wrong!**'''
**'''Issues:**'''
**'''Issue: Students are somewhat double-counted (and their spillovers are quadruple-counted). Their economic benefit (while students) is already contained in the labor spend from operations or the grant income.'''
→NCI Data
=== Operations vs. Patients ===
Operations:
=== Discount Rate ===
A discount rate of -0.3% was used, which represents the discount rate recommended by the Office of Management
=== Research funding ===
* Estimating multiplier effects (in-state), especially for non-labor, when there is no in-state activity outside of UVM!
** In particular, there are no externalities to clinical trials or federal grants because there is no one else in the state to benefit from spillovers.
* The Cancer Center proposes making UVM a top 10% 90th percentile recipient of cancer grants and accounting for perhaps 25% of all UVM NIH grants (15% of funding).
From FY 2021 to FY 2030, the research spending will add $161.6 million in
=== Students ===
The spending of these relocated and retained students can be attributed to UVMCC.
[[File:AmountOfNCIGrantsInVermont.PNG|right|500px]] The NCI doesn't provide amounts for grants prior to 2012. When there are amounts available, only UVM received grants, and the grant amounts followed the same trend as the grant numbers. The mean grant amount is around $850,000.
So, for the Cancer Center to achieve its goal of $15m/yr in grants, it would need around 18 grants per year. There were 631 organizations receiving funding from the NCI in 2021; an organization with 18 grants per year is around the 85th percentile. Of course, not all NCI grants will likely accrue to the Cancer Center. The Cancer Center would, therefore , likely have to add between 10 and 15 grants per year to UVM's totals. Below is a list of institutions that UVM would have to be competitive with in terms of NCI grants to achieve its goals: UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER JACKSON LABORATORY UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO STATE UNIVERSITY NEW YORK STONY BROOK UNIVERSITY OF IOWA PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV HERSHEY MED CTR THE MILKEN INSTITUTE SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH AT THE GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY BROAD INSTITUTE, INC.
== NIH Grant Data ==
