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This is a private page for those with 'Trusted' access that summarizes my thoughts on current intended projects.
=To Do List=
Each project has its own 'to do', but in order to explore new projects or break existing (inc. planned) projects into better questions there are the following tasks to be done:
*Determine whether there are existing models for the effects of the '''winner's curse under asymmetric information'''
*Determine the extent of the literature on the ''''choice' between IPO and acquisition''' for startup firms seeking commercialization financing
*Put together a list of models on complements and substitute technologies
=Technology and Commercialization Strategy=
'''Status:''' Builds of my thesis... Basic empirics done, experimental model done.
'''Co-authors:'''
'''To do:''' New empirics, finish model
'''Project Quality:''' Potentially very high
'''Project Page:''' [[Technology Financing Paper]]
This project currently has priority over all others.
=Acquisitions Paper=
(2) is probably the simplest paper to write. We will use continuous measures of IA, and perhaps compute new distance measures.
(3) is best answered using a dataset on acquisition of public firms by public firms (i.e. really Mergers). Also need Dierkins' other measures...
All three papers need lit reviews doing first.
'''Project Page:''' [[Patent Pool Licensing Project]]
=Mexican -Standoff Paper=
'''Q. What are the equilibria in patent litigation between competitors?'''
The project would try to describe at least some of the behaviour above using game theory (probably an infinitely repeated, full information game) and then use litigation data to show that the game models reality well.
=The Value of Patent Citations for Startups=
'''Q. Do some patent citations increase value and others decrease it? And can we use renewals to crudely cut between the two?'''
'''Status:''' Advanced
'''Co-authors:''' poss. Bronwyn Hall
'''To do:''' Rebuild data incorporating renewals
'''Project Quality:''' Potential Job Market Paper?
'''Project Page:''' None yet
This project might also need data on priority dates and other extentions, though this might be able to be deduced from renewals data. The project either works or doesn't once the data is done.
=Technology substitution and the choice of commercialization financing=
'''Q. Do firms with more radical innovations seek initial public offerings?'''
'''Status:''' Emprics is there. Needs a model and writing.
'''Co-authors:''' poss. Jim?
'''To do:''' Work on the model, decide whether the paper is feasible.
'''Project Quality:''' Potential Job Market Paper? Has a big maintained assumption unless done with two models (and then has a measurement problem).
'''Project Page:''' None yet
The maintained assumption would be that citations represent substitution. Otherwise, would need two models (one for subs, one for comps).
There are two possibilities here:
#Build out my 'learning' model. This might also give rise to a spin-off model, particularly if I can get complements in there.
#Use an off the shelf model (e.g. ?)
