Acemoglu, Johnson, Robinson (2005)

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Return to BPP Field Exam Papers 2012

Empirical Questions:

What is the author's topic and hypothesis?

The author attempts to show that Atlantic trade contributed to European growth through an indirect instutional channel as well as via its more obvious direct effects.

  • Atlantic trade generated large profits for comercial interests in favor of institutional changes in countries that met two crucial criteria:
  1. easy access to the Atlantic
  2. Nonabsolutisit initial insitutions

These profits swung the balence of power away from the monarchy and induced significant reforms in political institutions, which paved the way for more secure property rights.

How does the author test the hypothesis?

The authors test the the idea that WE growth after 1500 was primarily due to growth in countries involved with Atlantic trading or with high potential for Atlantic trading.

Specification 1 (results in table 2) [math]u_{jt} = d_{t} + \delta_{j} + \sum\limits_{t\gt =1600} \alpha_{t} \cdot WE_{j} \cdot d_{t} + \sum\limits_{t\gt =1500} \beta_{t} \cdot PAT_{j} \cdot d_{t}+X_{jt} \cdot \gamma +\epsilon_{jt}[/math]

  • u_{jt} is urbanization in country j at time t
  • WE is dummy for Western Europe
  • d is the year effects
  • [math]/delta_{j}[/math] is country effects
  • X is other covarriate
  • PAT is potential for Atlantic Trade

What do the authors tests achieve?

How could the tests be improved on? Strengths? Weaknesses?

What are some alternative empirical strategies

How does the author rule out alternative hypotheses?