7,613
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Trump and the Dow (Blog Post) (view source)
Revision as of 14:32, 29 October 2016
, 14:32, 29 October 2016no edit summary
|Content status=Published
|Graphics status=Approved
|Blog image=Donald_Trump_By_Gage_Skidmore_(Flipped).jpg
|Publication date==Oct 6, 2016
}}
==Resources==
*This article is published at http://mcnair.bakerinstitute.org/blog/trump-and-the-dow/*The files are in E:\McNair\Projects\Trump
==The Article==
[[image:TrumpAndTheDow_BakerInsititute.png|frameless|300px|right]] Some recent articles suggest that a Donald Trump presidency would be [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/trumps-economic-plan-goes-from-worse-to-bad/2016/09/20/4d0808f2-7e94-11e6-9070-5c4905bf40dc_story.html?utm_term=.895296c06e89 bad for the U.S. economy], or at least [http://money.cnn.com/2016/09/26/investing/donald-trump-first-debate/ bad for investors in the markets]. One way to address whether this is true is to examine the relationship between Mr. Trump’s poll numbers and the market.
We took Donald Trump’s daily poll numbers from the [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/ Real Clear Politics National Average Poll data] and the close-of-day price for the [https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI?ltr=1 Dow Jones Industrial Average] from the 19<sup>th</sup> of July, 2016– the date that Mr. Trump officially became the Republican party nominee – to the 5<sup>th</sup> of October, 2016. We then estimated the relationship between them using Ordinary Least Squares.
