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==Events==
===Event 1: International Affairs===
10th Feb 2016
Moderator: Allen Matusow
Panelists:
#Middle East - Joe Barnes
#Trade - Russell Green
#Immigration - Tony Payan
#Environmental - Ronald Sass
===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
16th Feb 2016
Moderator: Mark Jones
Panelists:
#Tax Reform - John Diamond
#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan
#Health Policy - Vivian Ho
#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
==Republican Party Primary Debates==
March 10th, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in TBD, Florida
February 26th, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Houston, Texas=Polls=
February 13thDonald Trump continues to lead the GOP. His polls have risen steadily since late May 2015. Trump has held the Republican lead throughout the primary, excluding a brief period in November 2015 when Ben Carson rose within 1% of Trump. Since that spike, Carson's numbers have dipped, and the most recent poll numbers place Carson in fourth. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, polling second and third respectively, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate have both demonstrated gradual increases in Greenvillepoll numbers since September 2015. Starting the election process as a clear GOP front runner, Jeb Bush has experienced a gradual decline to under 5%. The remaining GOP candidates,including Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina, and Santorum, South Carolinaare each polling below 4%. (USA)
February 6thHillary Clinton polls as the Democratic front runner. She has maintained a lead in the polls since the beginning of her campaign. Her poll numbers dropped between July-September 2015, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate but have been on the rise since then. Bernie Sanders comes in Manchestersecond, New Hampshirewith his numbers steadily on the rise since spring and summer of 2015. Martin O'Malley's numbers have remained relatively flat and have not risen above 5%. (USA)
January 28For the most up to date Presidential Campaign poll data, see USA Today's [http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Des Monies, Iowa/ Interactive Poll Tracker].
January 14For data on U.S. political trends, 2016: see Pew Research Center's [http://www.presidencypewresearch.ucsb.eduorg/wsdata/indexkey indicators page].php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]
December 15th, 2015: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]Baker Institute Events=
November 10th, 2015: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI[Ed's Presentation]]
October 28th, 2015===Event 1: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pidInternational Affairs===110906 Boulder, CO]
September 16th, 2015: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]10th Feb 2016
August 6th, 2015Moderator: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]Allen Matusow
==Democratic Party Primary Debates==Panelists:March 9th, 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in Miami, Florida#Middle East - Joe Barnes#Trade - Russell Green#Immigration - Tony Payan#Environmental - Ronald Sass
February 11th, 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in TBD, Wisconsin===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
January 17th, 16th Feb 2016 [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]
December 19th, 2015 [httpModerator://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]Mark Jones
November 14th, 2015 [httpPanelists://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IO]#Tax Reform - John Diamond#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan#Health Policy - Vivian Ho#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
October 13th===Event Format=== *Introduction (EPD or moderators)* 10 minutes at the podium for each participant** slides preferred, 2015 [http://wwwso we can put them online afterwards.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/indexThis will help direct media to our interests**strict time keeping, because most audience members want to get to the Q&A* Moderated Q&A**let's aim to have the audience ask most of the questions, but the moderators should be prepared in case of lulls*Finish about 8pm and adjourn to the reception A template for the slides was sent out by email from Ed.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]
Presidential Candidate Platforms (view source)
Revision as of 18:28, 12 February 2016
, 18:28, 12 February 2016→Topic Pages
=Topic Pages=
*[[Tax Reform]]
*[[Jobs and Business Policy]]
*[[Health Policy]]
*[[Drug Policy]]
*[[Middle East]]
*[[Trade]]
*[[Immigration]]
*[[Environmental]]
*[[Entrepreneurship and Innovation]]
*[[Monetary Policy]]
*[[Religion]]
*[[Quotes]]
*[[Carried Interest]]
=Candidates=
{| {{table}}| align class="centerwikitable sortable" style="backgroundborder: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor:#f0f0f0;f9f9f9"|'''Republican Candidates'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Democratic CandidatesCurrent Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''
|-
| [[Jeb BushDonald Trump]]||[[Hillary Clinton]]36.2||40||49
|-
| [[Ben CarsonTed Cruz]]||[[Bernie Sanders]]19.4||16||16
|-
| [[Chris ChristieMarco Rubio]]||[[Martin O'Malley]]10.8||25.7||27
|-
| [[Ted CruzBen Carson]]||8.2||0.1||1
|-
| [[Carly FiorinaJeb Bush]]||4.8||-||8
|-
| [[Mike HuckabeeJohn Kasich]]||2.6||-||4|} {| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Democratic''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''
|-
| [[John KasichHillary Clinton]]||52.5||68.2||70
|-
| [[Bernie Sanders]]||37.2||27||28|} {| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Drop Outs''' |||-| [[Rick Santorum]]|-| [[Rand Paul]]|-|[[Mike Huckabee]]
|-
| [[Marco RubioCarly Fiorina]]||
|-
| [[Rick SantorumChris Christie]]||
|-
| [[Donald TrumpMartin O'Malley]]||
|}
Poll numbers taken from real clear politics [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html] [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html]
Prediction market prices are reported in cents.
*PredictIt Republican [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1233/Who-will-win-the-2016-Republican-presidential-nomination] and Democratic [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1232/Who-will-win-the-2016-Democratic-presidential-nomination] nomination data
*Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) Republican [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/364.html] and Democratic [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/365.html] market data
=Debates=
{| {{table}}
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''LocationTranscript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
|-
| 13-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Oct. 13, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|10-13-15]]
|-
| 14-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IOIA]||[[Nov. 14, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|11-14-15]]
|-
| 19-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]||[[Dec. 19, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|12-19-15]]
|-
| 17-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 17, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|01-17-16]]
|-
| 11-Feb-16||TBD, WI
{| {{table}}
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''LocationTranscript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
|-
| 6-Aug-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]||[[Aug. 6, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|08-06-15]]
|-
| 16-Sep-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]||[[Sep. 16, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|09-16-15]]
|-
| 28-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]||[[Oct. 28, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|10-28-15]]
|-
| 10-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]||[[Nov. 10, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|11-10-15]]
|-
| 15-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Dec. 15, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|12-15-15]]
|-
| 14-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 14, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-14-16]]
|-
| 28-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111412 Des Moines, IOIowa]||[[Jan. 28, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-28-16]]
|-
| 6-Feb-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111472 Manchester, NH]
|-
| 13-Feb-16||Greenville, SC
| 10-Mar-16||TBD, FL
|}
=Caucus Results=[[Iowa Caucus]] Super Tuesday is on March TBD, 1st. A nice chart of when each state votes and how is available from the [http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016: Republican Candidates Debate in TBD/02/daily-chart-0 The Economist].
=Helpful Links=
*Bing Political Index
https://www.bing.com/search?q=bing+political+index&qs=SS&pq=bing+poli&sc=8-9&sp=1&cvid=C807FAE42F3B41D1A75124B713D48522&FORM=QBRE&ghc=1
(USA) = http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/
