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===Event 1: International Affairs===
10th Feb 2016
Moderator{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: Allen Matusow1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Drop Outs''' |||-| [[Rick Santorum]]|-| [[Rand Paul]]|-| [[Mike Huckabee]]|-| [[Carly Fiorina]]|-| [[Chris Christie]]|-| [[Martin O'Malley]]|}
Panelists:
#Middle East - Joe Barnes
#Trade - Russell Green
#Immigration - Tony Payan
#Environmental - Ronald Sass
===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
16th Feb Poll numbers taken from real clear politics [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html] [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html]
ModeratorPrediction market prices are reported in cents.*PredictIt Republican [http: Mark Jones//www.predictit.org/Market/1233/Who-will-win-the-2016-Republican-presidential-nomination] and Democratic [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1232/Who-will-win-the-2016-Democratic-presidential-nomination] nomination data*Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) Republican [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/364.html] and Democratic [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/365.html] market data
Panelists:=Debates===Democratic Party Primary Debates==#Tax Reform - John Diamond{| {{table}}| align="center" style="background:#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Eganf0f0f0;"|'''Date'''| align="center" style="background:#Health Policy - Vivian Hof0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#Drug Policy - Bill Martinf0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
*Super Tuesday is on March 1st. A nice chart of when each state votes and how is available from the [[Jeb Bush]]*[[Ben Carson]]*[[Chris Christie]]*[[Ted Cruz]]*[[Carly Fiorina]]*[[Mike Huckabee]]*[[John Kasich]]*[[Jim Gilmore]]*[[Rand Paul]]*[[Marco Rubio]]*[[Rick Santorum]]*[[Donald Trump]http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/02/daily-chart-0 The Economist].
*[[Hillary Clinton]]*[[Bernie Sanders]]*[[Martin ODonald Trump continues to lead the GOP. His polls have risen steadily since late May 2015. Trump has held the Republican lead throughout the primary, excluding a brief period in November 2015 when Ben Carson rose within 1% of Trump. Since that spike, Carson'Malley]]s numbers have dipped, and the most recent poll numbers place Carson in fourth. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, polling second and third respectively, have both demonstrated gradual increases in poll numbers since September 2015. Starting the election process as a clear GOP front runner, Jeb Bush has experienced a gradual decline to under 5%. The remaining GOP candidates,including Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina, and Santorum, are each polling below 4%. (USA)
=Debates===Republican Party Primary Debates==March 10thHillary Clinton polls as the Democratic front runner. She has maintained a lead in the polls since the beginning of her campaign. Her poll numbers dropped between July-September 2015, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate but have been on the rise since then. Bernie Sanders comes in TBDsecond, Floridawith his numbers steadily on the rise since spring and summer of 2015. Martin O'Malley's numbers have remained relatively flat and have not risen above 5%. (USA)
March TBDFor the most up to date Presidential Campaign poll data, see USA Today's [http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016: Republican Candidates Debate in TBD/ Interactive Poll Tracker].
February 26thFor data on U.S. political trends, 2016see Pew Research Center's [http: Republican Candidates Debate in Houston, Texas//www.pewresearch.org/data/ key indicators page].
February 13th, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Greenville, South Carolina=Baker Institute Events=
February 6th, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Manchester, New Hampshire[[Ed's Presentation]]
January 28, 2016===Event 1: Republican Candidates Debate in Des Monies, IowaInternational Affairs===
January 14, 10th Feb 2016: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]
December 15th, 2015Moderator: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]Allen Matusow
November 10th, 2015Panelists: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]#Middle East - Joe Barnes#Trade - Russell Green#Immigration - Tony Payan#Environmental - Ronald Sass
October 28th, 2015===Event 2: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pidDomestic Policy===110906 Boulder, CO]
September 16th, 2015: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]Feb 2016
August 6th, 2015Moderator: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]Mark Jones
==Democratic Party Primary Debates==Panelists:March 9th, 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in Miami, Florida#Tax Reform - John Diamond#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed EganFebruary 11th, 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in TBD, Wisconsin#Health Policy - Vivian Ho January 17th, 2016 [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
December 19th, 2015 [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]==Event Format===
November 14th*Introduction (EPD or moderators)* 10 minutes at the podium for each participant** slides preferred, 2015 [http://wwwso we can put them online afterwards.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des MoinesThis will help direct media to our interests**strict time keeping, because most audience members want to get to the Q&A* Moderated Q&A**let's aim to have the audience ask most of the questions, IO]but the moderators should be prepared in case of lulls*Finish about 8pm and adjourn to the reception
October 13th, 2015 [http://wwwA template for the slides was sent out by email from Ed.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]
Presidential Candidate Platforms (view source)
Revision as of 18:28, 12 February 2016
, 18:28, 12 February 2016→Topic Pages
=Topic Pages=Events*[[Tax Reform]]*[[Jobs and Business Policy]]*[[Health Policy]]*[[Drug Policy]]*[[Middle East]]*[[Trade]]*[[Immigration]]*[[Environmental]]*[[Entrepreneurship and Innovation]]*[[Monetary Policy]]*[[Religion]]*[[Quotes]]*[[Carried Interest]] =Candidates={| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Republican''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Donald Trump]]||36.2||40||49|-| [[Ted Cruz]]||19.4||16||16|-| [[Marco Rubio]]||10.8||25.7||27|-| [[Ben Carson]]||8.2||0.1||1|-| [[Jeb Bush]]||4.8||-||8|-| [[John Kasich]]||2.6||-||4|} {| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Democratic''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Hillary Clinton]]||52.5||68.2||70|-| [[Bernie Sanders]]||37.2||27||28|}
|-| 13-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=Topic Pages110903 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Oct. 13, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|10-13-15]]|-| 14-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IA]||[[Nov. 14, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|11-14-15]]|-*| 19-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]||[[Dec. 19, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|12-19-15]]|-| 17-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]||[[Tax ReformJan. 17, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|01-17-16]]|-| 11-Feb-16||TBD, WI|-| 9-Mar-16||Miami, FL|}
=Candidates=Republican Party Primary Debates==
{| {{table}}
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Republican CandidatesDate'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Democratic CandidatesTranscript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
|-
| 6-Aug-15|| [[Jeb Bush]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]||[[Hillary ClintonAug. 6, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|08-06-15]]
|-
| 16-Sep-15|| [[Ben Carson]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]||[[Bernie SandersSep. 16, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|09-16-15]]
|-
| 28-Oct-15|| [[Chris Christie]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]||[[Martin O'MalleyOct. 28, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|10-28-15]]
|-
| 10-Nov-15|| [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]||[Ted Cruz[Nov. 10, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|11-10-15]]||
|-
| 15-Dec-15|| [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]||[Carly Fiorina[Dec. 15, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|12-15-15]]||
|-
| 14-Jan-16|| [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]||[Mike Huckabee[Jan. 14, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-14-16]]||
|-
| 28-Jan-16|| [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111412 Des Moines, Iowa]||[John Kasich[Jan. 28, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-28-16]]||
|-
| 6-Feb-16|| [[Rand Paul]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111472 Manchester, NH]||
|-
| [[Marco Rubio]]13-Feb-16||Greenville, SC
|-
| [[Rick Santorum]]26-Feb-16||Houston, TX
|-
| [[Donald Trump]]10-Mar-16||TBD, FL
|}
=RepublicansCaucus Results=[[Iowa Caucus]]
=DemocratsPolls=
=Helpful Links=
*Bing Political Index
https://www.bing.com/search?q=bing+political+index&qs=SS&pq=bing+poli&sc=8-9&sp=1&cvid=C807FAE42F3B41D1A75124B713D48522&FORM=QBRE&ghc=1
(USA) = http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/
