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10th Feb 2016
Moderator{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: Allen Matusow1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Democratic''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Hillary Clinton]]||52.5||68.2||70|-| [[Bernie Sanders]]||37.2||27||28|}
Panelists:
#Middle East - Joe Barns
#Trade - Russell Green
#Immigration - Tony Payan
#Environmental - Ronald Sass
===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
16th Feb 2016{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Drop Outs''' |||-| [[Rick Santorum]]|-| [[Rand Paul]]|-| [[Mike Huckabee]]|-| [[Carly Fiorina]]|-| [[Chris Christie]]|-| [[Martin O'Malley]]|}
Moderator: Mark Jones
Panelists:
#Tax Reform - John Diamond
#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan
#Health Policy - Vivian Ho
#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
=Republicans=Poll numbers taken from real clear politics [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html] [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html]
*[[Jeb Bush]]*[[Ben Carson]]*[[Chris Christie]]Prediction market prices are reported in cents.*PredictIt Republican [[Ted Cruz]http://www.predictit.org/Market/1233/Who-will-win-the-2016-Republican-presidential-nomination]*[and Democratic [Carly Fiorina]http://www.predictit.org/Market/1232/Who-will-win-the-2016-Democratic-presidential-nomination]nomination data*Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) Republican [[Mike Huckabee]https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/364.html]*and Democratic [[John Kaisch]]*[[Jim Gilmore]]*[[Rand Paul]]*[[Marco Rubio]]*[[Rick Santorum]]*[[Donald Trump]https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/365.html]market data
*|-| 13-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Oct. 13, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|10-13-15]]|-| 14-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IA]||[[Hillary ClintonNov. 14, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|11-14-15]]*|-| 19-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]||[[Bernie SandersDec. 19, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|12-19-15]]*|-| 17-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]||[Martin O'Malley[Jan. 17, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|01-17-16]]|-| 11-Feb-16||TBD, WI|-| 9-Mar-16||Miami, FL|}
=Debates=
March 10th{| {{table}}| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''|-| 6-Aug-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]||[[Aug. 6, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|08-06-15]]|-| 16-Sep-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]||[[Sep. 16, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|09-16-15]]|-| 28-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]||[[Oct. 28, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|10-28-15]]|-| 10-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]||[[Nov. 10, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|11-10-15]]|-| 15-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Dec. 15, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|12-15-15]]|-| 14-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 14, 2016Republican Debate Highlights|01-14-16]]|-| 28-Jan-16||[http: //www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111412 Des Moines, Iowa]||[[Jan. 28, 2016 Republican Candidates Debate in Highlights|01-28-16]]|-| 6-Feb-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111472 Manchester, NH]|-| 13-Feb-16||Greenville, SC|-| 26-Feb-16||Houston, TX|-| 10-Mar-16||TBD, FloridaFL|} =Caucus Results=[[Iowa Caucus]] Super Tuesday is on March 1st. A nice chart of when each state votes and how is available from the [http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/02/daily-chart-0 The Economist].
March TBD, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in TBD=Polls=
February 26thDonald Trump continues to lead the GOP. His polls have risen steadily since late May 2015. Trump has held the Republican lead throughout the primary, excluding a brief period in November 2015 when Ben Carson rose within 1% of Trump. Since that spike, Carson's numbers have dipped, and the most recent poll numbers place Carson in fourth. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, polling second and third respectively, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate have both demonstrated gradual increases in Houstonpoll numbers since September 2015. Starting the election process as a clear GOP front runner, Jeb Bush has experienced a gradual decline to under 5%. The remaining GOP candidates,including Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina, and Santorum, Texasare each polling below 4%. (USA)
February 13thHillary Clinton polls as the Democratic front runner. She has maintained a lead in the polls since the beginning of her campaign. Her poll numbers dropped between July-September 2015, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate but have been on the rise since then. Bernie Sanders comes in Greenvillesecond, South Carolinawith his numbers steadily on the rise since spring and summer of 2015. Martin O'Malley's numbers have remained relatively flat and have not risen above 5%. (USA)
February 6thFor the most up to date Presidential Campaign poll data, see USA Today's [http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Manchester, New Hampshire/ Interactive Poll Tracker].
January 28For data on U.S. political trends, 2016see Pew Research Center's [http: Republican Candidates Debate in Des Monies, Iowa//www.pewresearch.org/data/ key indicators page].
January 14, 2016: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]Baker Institute Events=
December 15th, 2015: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV[Ed's Presentation]]
November 10th, 2015===Event 1: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pidInternational Affairs===110908 Milwaukee, WI]
October 28th, 201510th Feb 2016 Moderator: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]Allen Matusow
September 16th, 2015Panelists: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]#Middle East - Joe Barnes#Trade - Russell Green#Immigration - Tony Payan#Environmental - Ronald Sass
August 6th, 2015===Event 2: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pidDomestic Policy===110489 Cleveland, OH]
==Democratic Party Primary Debates==March 9th, 16th Feb 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in Miami, Florida
February 11th, 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in TBD, WisconsinModerator: Mark Jones
January 17th, 2016 [httpPanelists://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]#Tax Reform - John Diamond#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan#Health Policy - Vivian Ho#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
December 19th, 2015 [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]==Event Format===
November 14th*Introduction (EPD or moderators)* 10 minutes at the podium for each participant** slides preferred, 2015 [http://wwwso we can put them online afterwards.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des MoinesThis will help direct media to our interests**strict time keeping, because most audience members want to get to the Q&A* Moderated Q&A**let's aim to have the audience ask most of the questions, IO]but the moderators should be prepared in case of lulls*Finish about 8pm and adjourn to the reception
October 13th, 2015 [http://wwwA template for the slides was sent out by email from Ed.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]
Presidential Candidate Platforms (view source)
Revision as of 18:28, 12 February 2016
, 18:28, 12 February 2016→Topic Pages
=Topic Pages=Events==*[[Tax Reform]]*[[Jobs and Business Policy]]*[[Health Policy]]*[[Drug Policy]]*[[Middle East]]*[[Trade]]*[[Immigration]]*[[Environmental]]*[[Entrepreneurship and Innovation]]*[[Monetary Policy]]*[[Religion]]*[[Quotes]]*[[Carried Interest]]
=Candidates={| class=Event "wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Republican''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Donald Trump]]||36.2||40||49|-| [[Ted Cruz]]||19.4||16||16|-| [[Marco Rubio]]||10.8||25.7||27|-| [[Ben Carson]]||8.2||0.1||1: International Affairs===|-| [[Jeb Bush]]||4.8||-||8|-| [[John Kasich]]||2.6||-||4|}
=DemocratsDebates===Democratic Party Primary Debates=={| {{table}}| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
==Republican Party Primary Debates==
=Helpful Links=
*Bing Political Index
https://www.bing.com/search?q=bing+political+index&qs=SS&pq=bing+poli&sc=8-9&sp=1&cvid=C807FAE42F3B41D1A75124B713D48522&FORM=QBRE&ghc=1
(USA) = http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/
