Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
10th Feb 2016
Moderator: Allen Matusow
Panelists{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border:1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Drop Outs''' |||-| [[Rick Santorum]]|-| [[Rand Paul]]#Middle East |- Joe Barns#Trade | [[Mike Huckabee]]|- Russell Green#Immigration | [[Carly Fiorina]]|- Tony Payan#Environmental | [[Chris Christie]]|- Ronald Sass| [[Martin O'Malley]]|}
===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
16th Feb 2016
ModeratorPoll numbers taken from real clear politics [http: Mark Jones//www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html] [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html]
PanelistsPrediction market prices are reported in cents.*PredictIt Republican [http:#Tax Reform //www.predictit.org/Market/1233/Who-will-win-the-2016-Republican-presidential- John Diamond#Jobs nomination] and Business Policy Democratic [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1232/Who-will-win-the-2016-Democratic- Ed Egan#Health Policy presidential- Vivian Honomination] nomination data#Drug Policy - Bill Martin*Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) Republican [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/364.html] and Democratic [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/365.html] market data
*==Republican Party Primary Debates=={| {{table}}| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''|-| 6-Aug-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]||[[Jeb BushAug. 6, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|08-06-15]]*|-| 16-Sep-15||[[Ben Carsonhttp://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]]*||[[Chris ChristieSep. 16, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|09-16-15]]*|-| 28-Oct-15||[[Ted Cruzhttp://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]]*||[[Carly FiorinaOct. 28, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|10-28-15]]*|-| 10-Nov-15||[[Mike Huckabeehttp://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]]*||[[John Kaisch Nov. 10, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|11-10- omit15]]*|-| 15-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]||[Jim Gilmore [Dec. 15, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|12-15- omit15]]*|-| 14-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]||[Rand Paul[Jan. 14, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-14-16]]*[|-| 28-Jan-16||[Marco Rubio]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111412 Des Moines, Iowa]*||[[Rick SantorumJan. 28, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-28-16]]*[|-| 6-Feb-16||[Donald Trump]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111472 Manchester, NH]|-| 13-Feb-16||Greenville, SC|-| 26-Feb-16||Houston, TX|-| 10-Mar-16||TBD, FL|}
*Super Tuesday is on March 1st. A nice chart of when each state votes and how is available from the [[Hillary Clinton]]*[[Bernie Sanders]]*[[Martin O'Malley]http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/02/daily-chart-0 The Economist].
March TBDDonald Trump continues to lead the GOP. His polls have risen steadily since late May 2015. Trump has held the Republican lead throughout the primary, excluding a brief period in November 2015 when Ben Carson rose within 1% of Trump. Since that spike, Carson's numbers have dipped, and the most recent poll numbers place Carson in fourth. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, polling second and third respectively, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate have both demonstrated gradual increases in TBDpoll numbers since September 2015. Starting the election process as a clear GOP front runner, Jeb Bush has experienced a gradual decline to under 5%. The remaining GOP candidates,including Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina, and Santorum, are each polling below 4%. (USA)
February 26thHillary Clinton polls as the Democratic front runner. She has maintained a lead in the polls since the beginning of her campaign. Her poll numbers dropped between July-September 2015, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate but have been on the rise since then. Bernie Sanders comes in Houstonsecond, Texaswith his numbers steadily on the rise since spring and summer of 2015. Martin O'Malley's numbers have remained relatively flat and have not risen above 5%. (USA)
February 13thFor the most up to date Presidential Campaign poll data, see USA Today's [http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Greenville, South Carolina/ Interactive Poll Tracker].
February 6thFor data on U.S. political trends, 2016see Pew Research Center's [http: Republican Candidates Debate in Manchester, New Hampshire//www.pewresearch.org/data/ key indicators page].
January 28, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in Des Monies, Iowa=Baker Institute Events=
January 14, 2016: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC[Ed's Presentation]]
December 15th, 2015===Event 1: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pidInternational Affairs===111177 Las Vegas, NV]
November 10th, 2015: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]Feb 2016
October 28th, 2015Moderator: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]Allen Matusow
September 16th, 2015Panelists: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]#Middle East - Joe Barnes#Trade - Russell Green#Immigration - Tony Payan#Environmental - Ronald Sass
August 6th, 2015===Event 2: [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pidDomestic Policy===110489 Cleveland, OH]
==Democratic Party Primary Debates==March 9th, 16th Feb 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in Miami, Florida
February 11th, 2016 Democratic Candidates Debate in TBD, WisconsinModerator: Mark Jones
January 17th, 2016 [httpPanelists://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]#Tax Reform - John Diamond#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan#Health Policy - Vivian Ho#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
December 19th, 2015 [http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]==Event Format===
November 14th*Introduction (EPD or moderators)* 10 minutes at the podium for each participant** slides preferred, 2015 [http://wwwso we can put them online afterwards.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des MoinesThis will help direct media to our interests**strict time keeping, because most audience members want to get to the Q&A* Moderated Q&A**let's aim to have the audience ask most of the questions, IO]but the moderators should be prepared in case of lulls*Finish about 8pm and adjourn to the reception
October 13th, 2015 [http://wwwA template for the slides was sent out by email from Ed.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]
Presidential Candidate Platforms (view source)
Revision as of 18:28, 12 February 2016
, 18:28, 12 February 2016→Topic Pages
=Topic Pages=Events==*[[Tax Reform]]*[[Jobs and Business Policy]]*[[Health Policy]]*[[Drug Policy]]*[[Middle East]]*[[Trade]]*[[Immigration]]*[[Environmental]]*[[Entrepreneurship and Innovation]]*[[Monetary Policy]]*[[Religion]]*[[Quotes]]*[[Carried Interest]]
=Candidates={| class=Event "wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Republican''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Donald Trump]]||36.2||40||49|-| [[Ted Cruz]]||19.4||16||16|-| [[Marco Rubio]]||10.8||25.7||27|-| [[Ben Carson]]||8.2||0.1||1: International Affairs=|-| [[Jeb Bush]]||4.8||-||8|-| [[John Kasich]]||2.6||-||4|} {| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Democratic''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Hillary Clinton]]||52.5||68.2||70|-| [[Bernie Sanders]]||37.2||27||28|}
=Debates==Fellows' Email=Democratic Party Primary Debates==matusow@rice.edu, mpjones@rice.edu{| {{table}}jjbarns@rice.edu, russell.a.green@rice.edu, tony.payan@rice.ed, sass@rice.edu| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''jdiamond@rice.edu, ed.egan@rice.edu, vho@rice.edu, wcm@rice.edu| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
|-| 13-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=Republicans110903 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Oct. 13, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|10-13-15]]|-| 14-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IA]||[[Nov. 14, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|11-14-15]]|-| 19-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]||[[Dec. 19, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|12-19-15]]|-| 17-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 17, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|01-17-16]]|-| 11-Feb-16||TBD, WI|-| 9-Mar-16||Miami, FL|}
=DemocratsCaucus Results=[[Iowa Caucus]]
=DebatesPolls===Republican Party Primary Debates==March 10th, 2016: Republican Candidates Debate in TBD, Florida
=Helpful Links=
*Bing Political Index
https://www.bing.com/search?q=bing+political+index&qs=SS&pq=bing+poli&sc=8-9&sp=1&cvid=C807FAE42F3B41D1A75124B713D48522&FORM=QBRE&ghc=1
(USA) = http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/
