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Information from the debates should be cited as the first letter of the party debating (=Candidates={| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Republican or Democrat, so R or D), followed by a D for debate, followed by the debate number (if it was the first debate, a 1, the second debate, a 2, etc) For example, '''if I wanted to cite the Republican|| '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''s third debate, I would cite it as (RD3)PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Donald Trump]]||36.2||40||49|-| [[Ted Cruz]]||19.4||16||16|-| [[Marco Rubio]]||10.8||25.7||27|-| [[Ben Carson]]||8.2||0.1||1|-| [[Jeb Bush]]||4.8||-||8|-| [[John Kasich]]||2.6||-||4|}
Any other websites unique and specific to information about your candidate, feel free to make up an acronym. '''Whatever acronym you use, be sure to list at the bottom of the wiki page accompanied by the link to said information.'''
See Ben Carson{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'''Democratic''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''s page for an example of citation formatting|-| [[Hillary Clinton]]||52. 5||68.2||70=To Do Now=|-| [[Bernie Sanders]]||37.2||27||28Each candidate page should begin with a brief biography, their picture, a link to their campaign website, and then a summary of their stances on the following issues:|}
# Tax Reform
#Jobs and Business Policy
#Health Policy
#Drug Policy
#Middle East
#Trade
#Immigration
#Environmental
Make sure to get info from reliable source (their website, news, etc) and link that section of the wiki to the website '''(visibly cite your sources)'''. If their stance on an issue can't be found on their website, check what they say in debate transcripts, etc. The objective here is to get a large quantity of information about the candidates and organize it well. You can look at any of the in progress works if you want to see an example.
Once you{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'ve picked a candidate, make note of it here, and once their wiki is finished, say so on here as well.''Drop Outs''' |||-| [[Rick Santorum]]|-| [[Rand Paul]]|-| [[Mike Huckabee]]|-| [[Carly Fiorina]]|-| [[Chris Christie]]|-| [[Martin O'Malley]]|}
#Jeb Bush - Claudio - in progress
#Ben Carson - Carlin - finished
#Bernie Sanders - Will - in progress
#Hillary Clinton - Iris - in progress
#Donald Trump - Albert - in progress
#Ted Cruz - Ramee - in progress
#Marco Rubio - Jason - in progress
#Chris Christie - Ben - in progress
#Rand Paul - Meghana - in progress
#Martin O'Malley - Julia - in progress
#Rick Santorum - Jackie - in progress
=To Do Future=
After we've filled out this lump candidate information, some potential courses of action include (prioritize something along the lines of this order):
Two most important things arePoll numbers taken from real clear politics [http:*Linking debate transcriptions, possibly filtering them and pulling out what we think is important*Topic area pages//www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html] [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html]
Then:Prediction market prices are reported in cents.*Reformatting to make pretty*Fact checking PredictIt Republican [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1233/Who-will-win-the things they claim*Link news articles -2016-Republican-presidential-nomination] and Democratic [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1232/ other sourcesWho-will-win-the-2016-Democratic-presidential-nomination] nomination data*Poll numbers Iowa Electronic Markets (although these fluctuate so often, is it worth it?IEM)*Reformatting to make prettyRepublican [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/364.html] and Democratic [https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/365.html] market data
*[|-| 13-Oct-15||[Jeb Bush]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]*||[[Ben CarsonOct. 13, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|10-13-15]]*|-| 14-Nov-15||[[Chris Christiehttp://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IA]]*||[[Ted CruzNov. 14, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|11-14-15]]*[[Carly Fiorina]]|-*| 19-Dec-15||[[Mike Huckabeehttp://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]]*||[[John Kaisch Dec. 19, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|12- omit19-15]]*[[Jim Gilmore |- omit]]*[| 17-Jan-16||[Rand Paul]http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]*||[[Marco RubioJan. 17, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|01-17-16]]*[[Rick Santorum]]|-| 11-Feb-16||TBD, WI|-| 9-Mar-16||Miami, FL*[[Donald Trump]]|}
*[[Hillary Clinton]]*[[Bernie Sanders]]=Caucus Results=*[[Martin O'MalleyIowa Caucus]]
=Helpful Links=
Presidential Candidate Platforms (view source)
Revision as of 18:28, 12 February 2016
, 18:28, 12 February 2016→Topic Pages
=Citation code examplesTopic Pages=A candidate's website should be cited using candidate initials followed by a "W". For example, B'''en Carson's campaign website should be cited as (BCW), Donald Trump's website should be cited as (DTW)''', etc. *[[Tax Reform]]*[[Jobs and Business Policy]]*[[Health Policy]]*[[Drug Policy]]*[[Middle East]]*[[Trade]]*[[Immigration]]*[[Environmental]]*[[Entrepreneurship and Innovation]]*[[Monetary Policy]]*[[Religion]]*[[Quotes]]*[[Carried Interest]]
=RepublicansDebates===Democratic Party Primary Debates=={| {{table}}| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
=Democrats=Republican Party Primary Debates=={| {{table}}| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''|-| 6-Aug-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]||[[Aug. 6, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|08-06-15]]|-| 16-Sep-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]||[[Sep. 16, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|09-16-15]]|-| 28-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]||[[Oct. 28, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|10-28-15]]|-| 10-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]||[[Nov. 10, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|11-10-15]]|-| 15-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Dec. 15, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|12-15-15]]|-| 14-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 14, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-14-16]]|-| 28-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111412 Des Moines, Iowa]||[[Jan. 28, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-28-16]]|-| 6-Feb-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111472 Manchester, NH]|-| 13-Feb-16||Greenville, SC|-| 26-Feb-16||Houston, TX|-| 10-Mar-16||TBD, FL|}
Super Tuesday is on March 1st. A nice chart of when each state votes and how is available from the [http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/02/daily-chart-0 The Economist].
=Polls=
Donald Trump continues to lead the GOP. His polls have risen steadily since late May 2015. Trump has held the Republican lead throughout the primary, excluding a brief period in November 2015 when Ben Carson rose within 1% of Trump. Since that spike, Carson's numbers have dipped, and the most recent poll numbers place Carson in fourth. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, polling second and third respectively, have both demonstrated gradual increases in poll numbers since September 2015. Starting the election process as a clear GOP front runner, Jeb Bush has experienced a gradual decline to under 5%. The remaining GOP candidates,including Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina, and Santorum, are each polling below 4%. (USA)
Hillary Clinton polls as the Democratic front runner. She has maintained a lead in the polls since the beginning of her campaign. Her poll numbers dropped between July-September 2015, but have been on the rise since then. Bernie Sanders comes in second, with his numbers steadily on the rise since spring and summer of 2015. Martin O'Malley's numbers have remained relatively flat and have not risen above 5%. (USA)
For the most up to date Presidential Campaign poll data, see USA Today's [http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/ Interactive Poll Tracker].
For data on U.S. political trends, see Pew Research Center's [http://www.pewresearch.org/data/ key indicators page].
=Baker Institute Events=
[[Ed's Presentation]]
===Event 1: International Affairs===
10th Feb 2016
Moderator: Allen Matusow
Panelists:
#Middle East - Joe Barnes
#Trade - Russell Green
#Immigration - Tony Payan
#Environmental - Ronald Sass
===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
16th Feb 2016
Moderator: Mark Jones
Panelists:
#Tax Reform - John Diamond
#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan
#Health Policy - Vivian Ho
#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
===Event Format===
*Introduction (EPD or moderators)
* 10 minutes at the podium for each participant
** slides preferred, so we can put them online afterwards. This will help direct media to our interests
**strict time keeping, because most audience members want to get to the Q&A
* Moderated Q&A
**let's aim to have the audience ask most of the questions, but the moderators should be prepared in case of lulls
*Finish about 8pm and adjourn to the reception
A template for the slides was sent out by email from Ed.
=Helpful Links=
[[Earlier versions and info from presidential candidate platforms wiki page]]
*OnTheIssues (good for quotes)
http://www.ontheissues.org/default.htm
*Bing Political Index
https://www.bing.com/search?q=bing+political+index&qs=SS&pq=bing+poli&sc=8-9&sp=1&cvid=C807FAE42F3B41D1A75124B713D48522&FORM=QBRE&ghc=1
(USA) = http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/
