Changes

Jump to navigation Jump to search
=To Do NowTopic Pages=Each candidate page should begin with a brief biography, their picture, a link to their campaign website, *[[Tax Reform]]*[[Jobs and then a summary of their stances on the following issues:Business Policy]]*[[Health Policy]]*[[Drug Policy]]*[[Middle East]]*[[Trade]]*[[Immigration]]*[[Environmental]]*[[Entrepreneurship and Innovation]]*[[Monetary Policy]]*[[Religion]]*[[Quotes]]*[[Carried Interest]]
=Candidates={| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: # Tax Reformf9f9f9"|'''Republican''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Donald Trump]]||36.2||40||49|-| [[Ted Cruz]]||19.4||16||16|-#Jobs and Business Policy| [[Marco Rubio]]||10.8||25.7||27|-#Health Policy| [[Ben Carson]]||8.2||0.1||1#Drug Policy|-#Middle East| [[Jeb Bush]]||4.8||-||8#Trade|-#Immigration| [[John Kasich]]||2.6||-||4#Environmental|}
If their stance on an issue can't be found on their website, check what they say in debate transcripts, etc. The objective here is to get a large quantity of information about the candidates and organize it well. You can look at any of the in progress works if you want to see an example.
Once you{| class="wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"|'ve picked a candidate, make note of it here, and once their wiki is finished, say so on here as well''Democratic''' || '''Current Poll Number''' || '''IEM Price''' || '''PredictIt Price'''|-| [[Hillary Clinton]]||52.5||68.2||70|-| [[Bernie Sanders]]||37.2||27||28|}
#Jeb Bush - Claudio - in progress
#Ben Carson - Carlin - in progress
#Bernie Sanders - Will - in progress
#Hillary Clinton - Iris - in progress
#Donald Trump - Albert - in progress
#Ted Cruz - Ramee - in progress
If you have any questions, email carlin at cec14@rice.edu or text at 903-504-9287.
{| class=To Do Future"wikitable sortable" style="border: 1px solid darkgray; bgcolor: #f9f9f9"After we|'''Drop Outs'''ve filled out this lump candidate information, some potential courses of action include:|||-| [[Rick Santorum]]|-| [[Rand Paul]]|-| [[Mike Huckabee]]|-*Fact checking the things they claim| [[Carly Fiorina]]*Topic area pages|-*Linking debate transcriptions, possibly filtering them and pulling out what we think is important| [[Chris Christie]]*Link news articles / other sources|-*Poll numbers (although these fluctuate so often, is it worth it?)| [[Martin O'Malley]]*Reformatting to make pretty|}
=Republicans=
*[[Jeb Bush]]
*[[Ben Carson]]
*[[Chris Christie]]
*[[Ted Cruz]]
*[[Carly Fiorina]]
*[[Mike Huckabee]]
*[[John Kaisch]]
*[[Jim Gilmore]]
*[[Rand Paul]]
*[[Marco Rubio]]
*[[Rick Santorum]]
*[[Donald Trump]]
=Democrats=Poll numbers taken from real clear politics [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html] [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html]
Prediction market prices are reported in cents.*PredictIt Republican [http://www.predictit.org/Market/1233/Who-will-win-the-2016-Republican-presidential-nomination] and Democratic [Hillary Clinton]http://www.predictit.org/Market/1232/Who-will-win-the-2016-Democratic-presidential-nomination]nomination data*Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) Republican [[Bernie Sandershttps://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/364.html]]*[and Democratic [Martin O'Malley]https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/365.html]market data
=Debates=
==Democratic Party Primary Debates==
{| {{table}}
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
 
|-
| 13-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110903 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Oct. 13, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|10-13-15]]
|-
| 14-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110910 Des Moines, IA]||[[Nov. 14, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|11-14-15]]
|-
| 19-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111178 Manchester, NH]||[[Dec. 19, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|12-19-15]]
|-
| 17-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111409 Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 17, 2015 Democratic Debate Highlights|01-17-16]]
|-
| 11-Feb-16||TBD, WI
|-
| 9-Mar-16||Miami, FL
|}
 
==Republican Party Primary Debates==
{| {{table}}
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Date'''
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Transcript'''
| align="center" style="background:#f0f0f0;"|'''Link to Highlights'''
|-
| 6-Aug-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110489 Cleveland, OH]||[[Aug. 6, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|08-06-15]]
|-
| 16-Sep-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110756 Semi Valley, CA]||[[Sep. 16, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|09-16-15]]
|-
| 28-Oct-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110906 Boulder, CO]||[[Oct. 28, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|10-28-15]]
|-
| 10-Nov-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=110908 Milwaukee, WI]||[[Nov. 10, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|11-10-15]]
|-
| 15-Dec-15||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111177 Las Vegas, NV]||[[Dec. 15, 2015 Republican Debate Highlights|12-15-15]]
|-
| 14-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111395 North Charleston, SC]||[[Jan. 14, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-14-16]]
|-
| 28-Jan-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111412 Des Moines, Iowa]||[[Jan. 28, 2016 Republican Debate Highlights|01-28-16]]
|-
| 6-Feb-16||[http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=111472 Manchester, NH]
|-
| 13-Feb-16||Greenville, SC
|-
| 26-Feb-16||Houston, TX
|-
| 10-Mar-16||TBD, FL
|}
 
=Caucus Results=
[[Iowa Caucus]]
 
Super Tuesday is on March 1st. A nice chart of when each state votes and how is available from the [http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/02/daily-chart-0 The Economist].
 
=Polls=
 
Donald Trump continues to lead the GOP. His polls have risen steadily since late May 2015. Trump has held the Republican lead throughout the primary, excluding a brief period in November 2015 when Ben Carson rose within 1% of Trump. Since that spike, Carson's numbers have dipped, and the most recent poll numbers place Carson in fourth. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, polling second and third respectively, have both demonstrated gradual increases in poll numbers since September 2015. Starting the election process as a clear GOP front runner, Jeb Bush has experienced a gradual decline to under 5%. The remaining GOP candidates,including Christie, Kasich, Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina, and Santorum, are each polling below 4%. (USA)
 
Hillary Clinton polls as the Democratic front runner. She has maintained a lead in the polls since the beginning of her campaign. Her poll numbers dropped between July-September 2015, but have been on the rise since then. Bernie Sanders comes in second, with his numbers steadily on the rise since spring and summer of 2015. Martin O'Malley's numbers have remained relatively flat and have not risen above 5%. (USA)
 
For the most up to date Presidential Campaign poll data, see USA Today's [http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/ Interactive Poll Tracker].
 
For data on U.S. political trends, see Pew Research Center's [http://www.pewresearch.org/data/ key indicators page].
 
=Baker Institute Events=
 
[[Ed's Presentation]]
 
===Event 1: International Affairs===
 
10th Feb 2016
 
Moderator: Allen Matusow
 
Panelists:
#Middle East - Joe Barnes
#Trade - Russell Green
#Immigration - Tony Payan
#Environmental - Ronald Sass
 
===Event 2: Domestic Policy===
 
16th Feb 2016
 
Moderator: Mark Jones
 
Panelists:
#Tax Reform - John Diamond
#Jobs and Business Policy - Ed Egan
#Health Policy - Vivian Ho
#Drug Policy - Bill Martin
 
===Event Format===
 
*Introduction (EPD or moderators)
* 10 minutes at the podium for each participant
** slides preferred, so we can put them online afterwards. This will help direct media to our interests
**strict time keeping, because most audience members want to get to the Q&A
* Moderated Q&A
**let's aim to have the audience ask most of the questions, but the moderators should be prepared in case of lulls
*Finish about 8pm and adjourn to the reception
 
A template for the slides was sent out by email from Ed.
 
=Helpful Links=
[[Earlier versions and info from presidential candidate platforms wiki page]]
 
*OnTheIssues (good for quotes)
http://www.ontheissues.org/default.htm
 
*Bing Political Index
https://www.bing.com/search?q=bing+political+index&qs=SS&pq=bing+poli&sc=8-9&sp=1&cvid=C807FAE42F3B41D1A75124B713D48522&FORM=QBRE&ghc=1
 
(USA) = http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/
Anonymous user

Navigation menu