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#This is a working title only. The Measuring paper references it under this name for now.
===Instrument for Determinants===
I am going to try shocking the number of ESOs using the political party of the incumbent mayor. Data is available from:
# Load the data
# prepend zeros to FIPS
# Code mayor_party_final: Variable is DorR, which takes 1 if D, 0 if R and NULL otherwise.
# Blowout years
# Join by GEOID, year
0943370 2003 2
2622000 2009 2
 
Using this approach I have data for some years for 109 cities in my data, and 83% of the city-year records have democrats or republicans as the winners. It's good enough to try!

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